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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Coast Pulse Hub Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Live data from Open-Meteo · updates automatically ·
A slow-moving low-pressure system over the Tasman Sea is generating damaging winds, heavy rain and hazardous surf across south-east Australia, with the most intense conditions expected along the New South Wales coast and into eastern Victoria through Wednesday.
What areas are most at risk from this severe weather?
The most immediate threat is to the NSW South Coast, the Illawarra and the Victorian East Gippsland coast, where a severe weather warning for damaging winds averaging 60–70 km/h with peak gusts near 100 km/h is in place. The live ranking above shows these regions as the highest priority for dangerous surf and localised flooding.
- Damaging winds: Gusts up to 100 km/h likely near the coast, particularly from Batemans Bay to Mallacoota.
- Heavy rain: Isolated falls of 60–100 mm in 24 hours possible in the NSW South Coast and East Gippsland catchments.
- Hazardous surf: Powerful swells up to 4–5 metres are expected, posing a risk to coastal infrastructure and swimmers.
How long will this severe weather last?
The system will begin to weaken from Thursday as it moves east, but dangerous surf and gusty winds may persist into Friday for exposed beaches. The Bureau of Meteorology expects the most intense period to be Tuesday night through Wednesday evening.
What should I do if I live in a severe weather warning area?
Secure loose outdoor items, avoid unnecessary travel, and stay well away from beaches and rock platforms. Monitor the live ranking above and check your local warning at our Severe Weather Warning page.
Is this severe weather linked to a named storm?
No, this is a standard east coast low-pressure system, not a named tropical cyclone. These systems are common in autumn and winter for south-east Australia and can produce similar impacts to a tropical storm.
Will the severe weather affect flights or major roads?
Disruptions are possible, particularly on the Princes Highway and local coastal roads in East Gippsland and the NSW South Coast. Check our Weather Warning page for road closures and Weather Radar for live rainfall tracking.